Verra Mobility Corp Stock Performance

VRRM Stock  USD 18.59  0.20  1.06%   
The entity has a beta of 0.66, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Verra Mobility's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Verra Mobility is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Verra Mobility Corp has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to validate Verra Mobility's maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Verra Mobility Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Verra Mobility Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow139.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-69.7 M

Verra Mobility Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,281  in Verra Mobility Corp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (421.50) from holding Verra Mobility Corp or give up 18.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Verra Mobility Corp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7056% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Verra, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Verra Mobility is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Verra Mobility Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Verra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.59 90 days 18.59 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verra Mobility to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Verra Mobility Corp probability density function shows the probability of Verra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Verra Mobility has a beta of 0.66. This entails as returns on the market go up, Verra Mobility average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Verra Mobility Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Verra Mobility Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Verra Mobility Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Verra Mobility

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verra Mobility Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1518.8720.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9124.2225.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0017.7219.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.2621.6624.05
Details

Verra Mobility Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verra Mobility is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verra Mobility's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verra Mobility Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verra Mobility within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Verra Mobility Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verra Mobility for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verra Mobility Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Verra Mobility Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Verra Mobility Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verra Mobility's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verra Mobility's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding167.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.6 M

Verra Mobility Fundamentals Growth

Verra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Verra Mobility, and Verra Mobility fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Verra Stock performance.

About Verra Mobility Performance

By examining Verra Mobility's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Verra Mobility's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Verra Mobility is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions and services in the United States, Australia, Canada, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Mesa, Arizona. Verra Mobility operates under Infrastructure Operations classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1306 people.

Things to note about Verra Mobility Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Verra Mobility for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Verra Mobility Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Verra Mobility Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Verra Mobility's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Verra Mobility's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Verra Mobility's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Verra Mobility's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Verra Mobility's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Verra Mobility's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Verra Mobility's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Verra Mobility's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Verra Mobility's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Verra Mobility's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Verra Mobility's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Verra Mobility Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Verra Mobility's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Verra Mobility's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Verra Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Verra Mobility Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Internet Services & Infrastructure sector continue expanding? Could Verra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verra Mobility. If investors know Verra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Verra Mobility data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Verra Mobility Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Verra's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Verra Mobility's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Verra Mobility's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verra Mobility's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verra Mobility is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Verra Mobility's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.